【Tech Watch】Is AI Real Gold or a Bubble? Market Anxiety and Reflections After the U.S. Stock Market's "Plunge"

Foreword: Even the hottest star fears a cold shower?

Over the past year, artificial intelligence (AI) has undeniably been the "cash cow" of the global tech industry and capital markets. Whether it was Nvidia's chip shortage or major players racing to launch generative AI applications, investors were dazzled by the sheer volume of opportunities and scrambled to jump on board.Yet this Wednesday, the U.S. stock market experienced a sudden "hot-and-cold" shock. As AI-related stocks plummeted sharply, market anxiety surged to new heights. What warning signs lie behind this "AI anxiety"?

Breaking News: Tech Stocks Suffer Devastating Losses

According to the latest report from NBC News, U.S. stocks closed sharply lower on Wednesday, with the AI sector—previously the most aggressive performer—suffering the heaviest losses. This sell-off wasn't unfounded; investors grew skeptical about the "disconnect" between sky-high expectations for the AI industry and its actual profitability. Here are several key observations from this market turbulence:

  • Overvalued and attracting unwanted attention: The stock prices of many AI leaders have doubled and redoubled in a short period. This sudden surge has sparked market concerns that their valuations may have already become detached from reality, forming a bubble that could burst at any moment.
  • Profitability is being questioned: Despite AI technology's "hype," with prospects seemingly bright, when will tangible revenue contributions actually materialize on financial statements? Major players are currently investing billions of dollars in equipment, but the pace of "monetization" appears to lag behind the speed of capital expenditure.
  • The slightest hint of export restrictions, production capacity adjustments, or intensified competition triggers a herd mentality among investors, leading to collective sell-offs that send stock prices tumbling.

In-Depth Analysis: Is It a "Late Spring Chill" or a "Sign of Winter"?

This stock market crash has turned many retail investors who sought to "harvest the chives" into the ones being harvested instead. From the perspective of Taiwan's tech industry, as a core player in the global semiconductor supply chain, we must not let a single leaf obscure our vision. This resurgence of AI anxiety actually reflects an inevitable stage in technological development: the transition from the "imagination phase" to the "verification phase."As the saying goes, "When you're in a hurry, you break the bowl." Major corporations, once blindly expanding their AI infrastructure to avoid falling behind, now face immense pressure from hardware depreciation and computational costs.The market no longer asks merely "Do you have AI?" but "How much money can your AI generate?" If companies cannot demonstrate concrete profit models, then a "correction" in their stock prices is only to be expected.

Comments and Suggestions: Only by being vigilant in times of peace can we proceed steadily and far.

Regarding this market turbulence, we need not panic excessively, but we must absolutely "prepare for danger in times of safety." Here are a few points for readers to consider:

  1. AI is not a panacea: Tech giants that treat AI merely as a marketing gimmick without tangible real-world implementation will ultimately face the embarrassing situation where "when the tide goes out, you see who's been swimming naked." We should focus on those applications that transform AI into tangible efficiency gains and cost reductions.
  2. Hardware leads the charge, software takes the baton: The current downturn is largely concentrated among hardware equipment manufacturers, indicating that infrastructure deployment has reached saturation or is slowing slightly. The next major focus will be the "software application layer." Only those who develop killer AI services will remain steadfast in the next wave.
  3. Invest in batches, never chase highs: The biggest pitfall in tech stock investing is buying on rumors. During periods of extreme market volatility, adopt a prudent strategy by monitoring fundamental shifts rather than blindly entering when prices are "sky-high."

Conclusion: No experience, no wisdom.

The recent "devastating" plunge in U.S. stocks serves as a wake-up call for global investors. While AI represents a transformative future trend, no industry's development proceeds without turbulence. This downturn may offer the market an opportunity to "reboot," purging speculative elements and redirecting resources toward genuinely valuable technological advancements.Time reveals the true worth of a horse, and the test of character comes with the passage of days. Only time will tell the true value of AI. As tech enthusiasts, we should maintain a rational mindset and keep a steady eye on the long-term trajectory of this technological revolution, rather than drifting with the tide or being swayed by market sentiment. After all, on the battlefield of technology, only those with genuine substance will emerge victorious in the end.”

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